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Government debt

Yesterday

The budget in five key charts

The five key graphs to understand the government’s latest federal budget.

  • Edmund Tadros
Australia’s debt interest cost set to surge.

Decade of deficits to spark debt interest surge

While Treasurer Jim Chalmers was spruiking debt in 2023-24 being $904 billion, gross debt is forecast to rise sharply in the years ahead.

  • Ronald Mizen
Treasurer Jim Chalmers introduces the budget documents this week.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ message to the nation

The $22.7 Future Made in Australia policy will make Australia an indispensable part of the global green energy revolution.

  • Jim Chalmers

This Month

ANZ said ASIC is investigating “suspected contraventions” of the ASIC and Corporations Act, and is “cooperating fully with ASIC”.

ANZ confirms investigation of its government bond sale

ANZ said is “co-operating fully” with ASIC as it investigates “suspected contraventions” of the Corporations Act relating to a government bond sale last year.

  • James Eyers
ANZ is one of the most active banks in syndicating new debt for the Australian Office of Financial Management.

ASIC investigates ANZ over Treasury trades

The corporate regulator acted after receiving a complaint from the Australian Office of Financial Management, which raises government debt, sources said.

  • Aaron Patrick
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April

NSW Treasurer Daniel Mookhey questions why NSW loses $12 billion in part because Kiama has been declared a major city while Darwin and Hobart have not.

Chalmers stares down NSW funding threat in GST row

NSW Treasurer Daniel Mookhey says an inequitable GST allocation will likely cost the state its remaining two AAA credit ratings.

  • Samantha Hutchinson
The S&P 500 is up 20 per cent in the past year, despite widespread bearish sentiment towards equities.

The S&P 500 keeps defying the equity bears – here’s why

A pessimistic outlook hasn’t stopped a serious rally in the past year, but it may have further to run.

  • Vimal Gor
AFR

Global debt can’t keep growing forever

Now ultra-low interest rates have ended, large-scale government borrowing looks unsustainable.

  • Martin Wolf

March

Phillip Swagel: “It would behove policymakers to reduce deficits substantially in part because there are big demographic challenges coming down the pike.”

US faces Liz Truss-style market shock as debt soars, warns watchdog

The Congressional Budget Office chief says the US fiscal burden was on an “unprecedented” trajectory, risking a crisis of the kind that sparked a run on the pound in 2022.

  • Claire Jones
Uncompleted residential buildings on the outskirts of Shenyang, in Liaoning Province.

China’s indebted provinces meet state bankers to discuss debt relief

Many local governments are grappling with billions of dollars of off-balance sheet debt, stifling their ability to deploy new investments.

  • Cheng Leng
Victorian Treasurer Tim Pallas is expected to hand down a horror budget in May.

Another $12b debt blowout in Victoria sets scene for horror budget

Ratings agency S&P says Victoria could face a daily interest bill of $30 million by 2027 after it was revealed state debt has already grown to $126 billion.

  • Gus McCubbing and Patrick Durkin
Treasurer Jim Chalmers and Finance Minister Katy Gallagher.

Government tax take and spending nears record high

Economists are urging Jim Chalmers to focus on paying down debt instead of increasing spending, as new analysis shows the tax take has hit 30 per cent of GDP.

  • Michael Read

February

The Wiggins Island Coal Export Terminal under construction in Gladstone in 2018.

Boutique adviser 333 Capital in the thick of WICET’s $3b refi

While small parcels of WICET debt have changed hands, so far there isn’t a dominant player on track to building a big exposure.

  • Sarah Thompson, Kanika Sood and Emma Rapaport
Treasurer Jim Chalmers says higher interest rates mean government debt is more expensive to service.

Australia avoids ‘iceberg’ but debt on track to hit $1.4 trillion

Total government debt could be worth as much as 58 per cent of GDP by 2027 according to a new paper from the Centre for Independent Studies.

  • Samantha Hutchinson

December 2023

Treasurer Jim Chalmers and Finance Minister Katy Gallagher at Wednesday’s MYEFO press conference at Parliament House.

Responsible economic management key to Albanese government’s agenda

There’s no shortage of challenges in the budget or the economy, but the mid-year budget update shows we are making encouraging progress.

  • Jim Chalmers
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Treasurer Dr Jim Chalmers has no strategy to return to surpluses at any stage in the future.

How Chalmers’ fiscal goals lost all ambition

It is striking how modest fiscal strategy ambitions have become. If we look back over 10 years, there are valuable lessons.

  • Robert Carling
India is among the countries to attract new funds.

Investors pour $1.2b into riskier debt as rate rise fears fade

The chase is on for opportunities in emerging markets as the prospect of a soft landing in the US and interest rate cuts next year boost risk appetites.

  • Leda Alvim

November 2023

Falling rates should help boost deal making.

Are Goldman Sachs’ most powerful bankers being too hopeful?

The three global heads of its investment banking franchise say conditions for deal makers should improve next year as interest rates fall.

  • James Thomson
Stanley Druckenmiller, who managed money for George Soros for more than a decade, has been predicting a hard landing for the US economy for some time.

Druckenmiller says investors still don’t get the Fed’s big problem

Wall Street rallying on the decision to keep US interest rates on hold proves Stanley Druckenmiller’s point: equity investors don’t appreciate the impact of higher rates on the economy.

  • James Thomson

October 2023

Former Australian ambassador to the US, Joe Hockey, speaking in London

Ballooning debt could ‘come to a head’: Hockey

The former treasurer and ambassador to Washington worries that lax, spendthrift populism could turn unsustainable debt burdens into a default crisis.

  • Hans van Leeuwen